Gray DC Bureau. Investigate TV. Antenna TV. Latest Newscasts. By CNN. Published: Oct. Share on Facebook. Email This Link. And things never really got better — indeed, they got worse. The media moved on from Afghanistan, but the rise of the delta variant and renewed economic woes loomed large as summer changed to autumn.
In mid-August, a majority of Americans approved of Biden, and now a majority disapprove of him. In just two and a half months, he lost the country. Biden was already trending downward, albeit more slowly, beforehand, and continued trending downward after national attention turned elsewhere.
While a loss of support for the president may be common, just exactly how much support is lost can vary. One big factor is probably that Americans went from believing, in June, that the end of the pandemic was imminent and economic recovery was here to being rudely awakened by delta and higher prices over the following months.
From Afghanistan to his legislative agenda to the economy to the coronavirus, the narrative has been the same: that Biden is floundering and ineffective. Some of those criticisms are fair; some are blaming him for events out of his control. Biden Approval Ratings in Decline. October 11, PM. Ken Bredemeier. His standing has dropped more since then, with political analysts offering several explanations.
At least among some constituencies. Those groups might come back to the fold if happy times get here again. Obviously, Black voters are a key Democratic constituency, so this could have huge ramifications for Biden. Among unvaccinated Black voters, there was a point drop. And what will you be watching moving forward? But past elections indicate that the severity of midterm losses loosely correlates with the popularity of the president.
To simplify things a bit, Gallup found back in that when postwar presidents had an approval rating of 50 percent or more around the time of a midterm election, their party lost an average of only 14 seats in the House. Using more recent data, from to , Bloomberg put the average loss at 33 seats for presidents with approval ratings below 50 percent.
The only recent presidents who gained House seats in a midterm election, Bill Clinton in and George W. Bush in , had approval ratings in the 60s. Perhaps the target figure should be more like 55 percent now because the band of possibilities for presidential approval has narrowed. Still, it will be challenging for Biden to even get back there to help Democrats hold or even gain ground. Of course, this is mostly about the House, which is a truly national election with all seats up. Take , for example: Trump was way underwater and Republicans lost the House, but they actually gained ground in the Senate because Democrats had to defend a sizable number of seats in red states.
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